Need a real camera

To get pics this far off. I walked at 8 this morning and saw a deer 3 times. The first one is standing to the left of a tree on the fence line in this pic. She jumped into the road at the edge of Craig Matt's into the road. I need to start carrying a real camera to get real pics.

I am taking the kids skating this afternoon. Well, dropping them off. I will not be skating.

Puzzling

Wordle 244 5/6

🟨⬜⬜⬜⬜
⬜⬜🟨⬜⬜
🟩🟨⬜🟨⬜
🟩🟩⬜🟨🟨
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

This simple little word puzzle is a fun time killer for me.  But, I guess for some it is something much more.  Since the NYT bought the game, there are new complaints in the news? every day.  The ? is questing how so many trivial pursuits come to be considered news.  First came complaints the game had changed in some way.  Then, complaints the words chosen were harder than before NYT. Just ignore that the list of words can be found online if you want to look.  Those who looked, said NYT dropped a word a few days ago deemed to obscure, as in not a commonly used word. The word was AGORA.  What is that? If it had not been dropped out of the lineup, I am sure I would have missed that one. Then, a couple days ago the word was Caulk. Apparently many young people who have never done much of anything useful did not know that was a word.  Complaints, complaints.  But wait, yesterday's word was SHAKE.  Complaints, complaints that was a TOO common word. Many people had SHA_E and ran out of guesses before they got to K. Todays word used the same letter twice, so I expect that will draw complaints.

It's a game, not a world crisis.

Speaking of crisis, the boy made it to Poland safely.  

Critter Cam today

 

Both cameras are working now. This was at 2:20 and at 2:45 I was there collecting the cards.

I like the day time images.

Here is a young one with a scar.  I don't know if the scar is new, or this particular fawn has not been around at picture time before.

I had an abundance of Mr. Racoon.

A close up.

Mr. Racoon.

Rubbing noses?

A large group.

Solving puzzles

Wordle 240 2/6

🟩🟩🟨⬜⬜
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 

I have been playing this word game all this month.  So far I am 14/14. I kept seeing this headlines on the news websites about best starting word for Wordle. That made me think more about how this thing worked. I read some of the articles. 'They' say there are 2,315 common 5 letter words in the Wordle dictionary from which each word of the day is chosen.  As of today, 240 of those words have been used, and I am assuming there will not be repeats anytime soon.  So, how likely are we to get the exact word in the first guess, 1 in (2,315 - 240) = 1 in 2,075 chances. There are no words made by plural S, (words).  And the dictionary of acceptable guess is much greater than 2,315. However, NYT has bought the game, and are in the process of removing words some unknown at NYT deems socially offensive.  I am guessing NYT is judge and jury of acceptable words.  No democracy at NYT.

Those best start word stories made me wonder how one decides the best start word. In the world of probability, each of the 2,075 remaining on the list has an equal change of being tomorrows word.  The articles almost all said AI intelligence was used to summons the very best word.  So, I tried it myself.  Using my limited understanding of probability, and my understanding of Excel's capabilities, I did a few searches and made a few excel formulas, after searching the web for letter usage in our English language.

And the best starter word for today's puzzle was CHEAT cause that is what happened when I looked for the word list. I had not worked the puzzle yet, and saw how the word started.

Here is what I found about frequency of letters in English language words, for 1 to 26.

Letter	Frequency
E	1
T	2
A	3
O	4
I	5
N	6
S	7
R	8
H	9
D	10
L	11
U	12
C	13
M	14
F	15
Y	16
W	17
G	18
P	19
B	20
V	21
K	22
X	23
Q	24
J	25
Z	26

Since most 5 letter words contain only 2 vowels, the science of probability would support words containing 2 vowels from the first 7 to 10 letters from that list; ETAOINSRHDL. I personally prefer words using e a t and r. But, this frequency table is taken from hundreds of thousands words, not a limited 5 letter common usage list.

So, to waste a little more time, I found a list of the 240 words already used and ran that list through my excel frequency list formula.  Below is that 240 word list frequency table. The smaller list skews the above frequency list somewhat.  This makes ERAOTILSUCN top the list.  I still like a word with EA or OI with RTL or N.  My biggest problem with all word puzzles is my lack of spelling skills. Would anyone guess I did not have a very busy work day at work today?

LETTER	Frequency
E	109
R	108
A	91
O	76
T	73
I	66
L	63
S	54
U	50
C	50
N	47
D	40
Y	38
P	38
H	35
G	35
B	34
M	28
K	24
F	23
W	16
V	11
X	5
Q	4
Z	4
J	3

Sailing Away

Tomorrow our little Army guy is scheduled to cross the Atlantic to a different world. If he gets hurt, I am not voting for Biden again.